Investing

Economic “Soft Landing?”

Looking back several decades to the last 14 tightening cycles by the Federal Reserve’s, the Fed has managed a soft landing (i.e. successfully slowing growth and inflation without causing a recession) only twice. The other twelve tightening cycles have resulted in a recession. In other...

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Inflation continues to cool

Inflation Continues to Cool June CPI registered a 3% increase, which was the smallest 12-month increase since the period ending March 2021. While a downward trend in inflation can always reverse, it is also possible that the easing inflation and a somewhat slower economy may result...

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Economic Outlook Remains Murky

Economic Outlook Remains Murky The Fed tightened until something broke: Silicon Valley Bank. Now the Fed has to grapple with maintaining financial stability (and not let anything else break) as it tries to tame inflation.    The outlook for the U.S. economy has become murky—again. First, Federal Reserve...

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Is Schwab Okay?

Is Schwab Okay? The recent banking crisis has hammered financial stocks, but few more than Schwab, which is down 35% in three weeks.   In the wake of the Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) failure, Charles Schwab stock has suffered the fastest decline since 1987. While few clients of...

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2023 Market Outlook

Despite high inflation and rising interest rates, the U.S. labor market remains strong. If inflation continues to ease, an economic soft landing may actually be possible. The U.S. economy produced jobs at a slower but still comfortable rate at the end of 2022, as higher interest...

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What’s Driving the Market?

This is an especially tricky time for the markets. The conditions that led to the tremendous run up in asset prices (low interest rates and inflation, combined with strong growth) have now flipped. Inflation is running hot, and the Fed is scrambling to raise rates...

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